TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e3e…ea35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajdabacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winterbacked Giles Hussey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.54
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Roland Garros WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$609.94
Centurion: Filip Peliwo vs Arda Azkarabacked Arda Azkara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fominbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Belluccibacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$191.26
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Daniil Glinka vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$312.05
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Cervia: Moise Kouame vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Istanbul: Mert Alkaya vs Georgii Kravchenkobacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$103.2
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$48.56
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.5
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navonebacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.23
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarrobacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$36.25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.39
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$51.4
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.4
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$17.9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$146
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+861.5%+$179.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$63.46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.46
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.22
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.7
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$28.74
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+99.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.88
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$237.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$368.3
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$243.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$13.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.