Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e25ccabb32e8d68fed95405ffe3975ffcb2af7de61b1de2f4eb22f1b375029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 17,485$10,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,587.78 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 32c | 12,950$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,844.46 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 52c | 10,813$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,639.91 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 34c | 10,675$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,998.49 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 69c | 10,604$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.69 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 48c | 9,721$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.3 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 48c | 7,147$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.58 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 30c | 6,702$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 29c | 5,866$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 40c | 4,231$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.35 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 56c | 4,109$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.7 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 73c | 4,057$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.7 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 38c | 3,976$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.28 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 3,710$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.04 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1d24backed Yes | 51c | 3,428$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 35c | 2,836$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.04 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…775dbacked No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 49c | 2,267$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 61c | 2,248$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 51c | 2,195$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,170$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 78c | 2,153$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.97 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 54c | 2,022$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 46c | 1,978$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.56 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Yes | 50c | 1,960$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 38c | 1,832$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 29c | 1,790$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.9 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 54c | 1,750$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 55c | 1,750$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.49 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 32c | 1,666$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 1,659$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.82 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 1,602$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.47 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 49c | 1,530$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.47 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,483$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,426$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,391$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.98 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 35c | 1,324$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.32 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 65c | 1,310$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.98 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 35c | 1,300$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 44c | 1,255$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.74 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 52c | 1,172$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.35 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 1,150$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.08 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 1,096$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.36 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…928fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…b7a9backed Yes | 55c | 966.47$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…c2e6backed No | 45c | 920.42$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 900$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.79 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked No | 59c | 892.78$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 865.51$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.12 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked Yes | 39c | 857.59$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 49c | 808.87$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.87 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 56c | 772.33$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 69c | 750.57$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.39 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 51c | 691.9$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.87 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 35c | 690.8$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.32 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…a0efbacked Yes | 62c | 648.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…ac3abacked Yes | 64c | 623.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 55c | 614.36$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 26c | 605.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 600$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 63c | 581.04$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.03 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 46c | 575$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 50c | 566.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.92 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 5c | 536.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 55c | 520$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.81 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 35c | 499.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 33c | 480.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.25 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 460.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 41c | 456.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 38c | 444.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 33c | 423.02$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 32c | 406$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.87 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc082…eb9bbacked No | 72c | 405.41$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 34c | 402.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 394.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 388.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 69c | 384.43$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 32c | 377.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 35c | 365.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 35c | 363.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 56c | 354.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 62c | 348$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?this page
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
- Will Jaleel Amador be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
- Will James Felton Keith be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
- Will Matt Miller be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
- Will Oscar Romero be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.