TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd08…ee64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst IPO at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$14.71
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.72
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.03
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$2,987.26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$242
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.85
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$94.69
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$587.58
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+112%+$2,150.23
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,648.01
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$276.54
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+36.4%+$836.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.61
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$42.31
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$283.05
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.86
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+1,011.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$441.61
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$140.01
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56.63
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42.7%+$21.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.