World Politics · resolved market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065c9c419b6e1efa736760d175f0bb544af3b06c908d2bdcf7a942092faec5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0086…1b8cbacked Yes | 32c | 99,558$32,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,068.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 51c | 40,486$20,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,596.17 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 59c | 16,394$9,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,784.21 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 65c | 14,651$9,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.06 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 1c | 10,410$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 49c | 10,075$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.45 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 9,468$6,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.03 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 40c | 6,385$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.73 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 54c | 5,222$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.13 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.98 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 52c | 4,662$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.61 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed No | 57c | 4,460$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed No | 57c | 4,295$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 49c | 4,019$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 51c | 3,600$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.85 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 47c | 3,566$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.01 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…85f4backed Yes | 43c | 3,283$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 3,199$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.48 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…80bbbacked Yes | 32c | 3,133$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 78c | 2,902$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 41c | 2,786$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.23 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 54c | 2,695$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 22c | 2,670$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes | 45c | 2,666$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 77c | 2,460$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 33c | 2,307$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.73 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…59b4backed Yes | 42c | 2,287$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 56c | 2,039$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…d6bfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,698$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 1,608$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…47c7backed Yes | 50c | 1,546$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed No | 65c | 1,512$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 52c | 1,504$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.88 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 57c | 1,500$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 29c | 1,445$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.52 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 67c | 1,440$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…baa9backed No | 58c | 1,412$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 1,266$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.64 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 49c | 1,247$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.07 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 1,212$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.68 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 46c | 1,134$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.38 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4a…6b1ebacked No | 56c | 1,110$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 20c | 1,083$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 47c | 1,017$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.56 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 65c | 861.55$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…af60backed No | 59c | 794.19$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes | 37c | 736.93$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 57c | 716.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.68 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 44c | 656.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 66c | 639.01$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 51c | 617.69$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.23 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 55c | 603.95$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa8…4359backed Yes | 2c | 569.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 55c | 544.85$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 50c | 539.75$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.01 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…ea94backed Yes | 49c | 516$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…3c1fbacked No | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…688fbacked Yes | 40c | 491.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 44c | 486.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.05 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 49c | 480.91$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…5a14backed Yes | 60c | 478.14$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…5375backed Yes | 30c | 455.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +244.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Yes | 3c | 449.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +692.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb443…a0cabacked Yes | 59c | 428.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked No | 56c | 400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…a535backed Yes | 60c | 399.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 54c | 391.92$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 16c | 385.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…bdb6backed No | 68c | 382$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 64c | 369.13$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +92%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…799cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +258.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…9581backed Yes | 45c | 340.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 45c | 334.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 332.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 330.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 80c | 327.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…f959backed Yes | 42c | 314.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 55c | 297.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…3b45backed No | 59c | 297$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 55c | 288.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 63c | 288.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…22d8backed No | 55c | 284$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 51c | 280.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…c279backed Yes | 36c | 270$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 73c | 263.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…d015backed No | 68c | 258$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 50c | 252.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes | 47c | 250$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…b378backed Yes | 45c | 249.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?this page
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.