TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88ee…c234

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 51 out of 100; worst AI at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+180%+$805.36
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$308.35
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.09
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.56
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$64.13
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.47
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$473.9
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.5
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$1,728.03
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.14
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$861.88
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.16
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$752.69
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$1,557.63
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,121.5
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.93
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$4,250
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.95
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+255.5%+$173.63
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.24
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,673.51
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.46
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.1
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$252.66
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.8
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$1,191.83
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$905.92
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-80.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.43
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.25
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,617.88
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.5
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.6
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.64
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+114%+$643.79
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$533
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.