Movies · resolved market
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5056fdc5f7fe8ec59620b41b8b3a327c1cd86087275a7772cf365a01d4fe767d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 35c | 4,150$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 2,523$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.4 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 30c | 2,020$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 1,733$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 62c | 1,470$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.75 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,311$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 67c | 1,167$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.41 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,045$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.84 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 27c | 1,037$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 72c | 1,003$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 75c | 992.8$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 66c | 895.62$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.86 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 6c | 739.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 10c | 728.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 29c | 716.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.35 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 675.03$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 43c | 630$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 67c | 598$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 518.71$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 37c | 512.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 37c | 471.43$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Yes | 32c | 445.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed Yes | 4c | 418.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 33c | 364.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 55c | 343.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes | 26c | 311.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed Yes | 14c | 296.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 45c | 290.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 39c | 285$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…c349backed Yes | 67c | 267.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 248.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 246$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 9c | 232.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 44c | 229.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 228.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 5c | 222.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 40c | 221$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed Yes | 7c | 215.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 52c | 214.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 58c | 213$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 35c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 66c | 199.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 37c | 197.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 37c | 185$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 15c | 143.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 59c | 128.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 66c | 127.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 124.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…1a28backed No | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 60c | 93.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 69c | 93.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 14c | 75.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 71c | 75.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 71c | 72.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 73c | 71.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 69c | 67.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 71c | 63.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 34c | 59.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 34c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 57.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 68c | 53.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 39c | 52.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…cf5ebacked No | 58c | 50.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 33c | 48.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 48.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…f3d0backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Yes | 64c | 43.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 35c | 39.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 66c | 37.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 37.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 66c | 36.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 74c | 35.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 60c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…a6a2backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 24.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…ef25backed No | 63c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 21.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…8108backed No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…d8b0backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…85c6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…6891backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9536backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?this page
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.