TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a68…33bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$4.23
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$34.97
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$25.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$18.39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.31
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.22
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$6.08
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.52
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+190%+$38
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.17
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.6
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.3%+$7.1
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.3
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+61.9%+$8.66
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$33.39
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$47.5
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150%+$18
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.41
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Utah vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$39.47
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+150%+$67.5
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+77.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+384.8%+$57.73
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+39.5%+$5.92
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25.07
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+503.4%+$146
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71.18
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.9%+$11.61
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+405.5%+$68.94
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+150%+$15
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$73.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$27.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+247.4%+$79.18
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+54.1%+$29.74
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+275.4%+$234.05
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+174.8%+$148.6
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+94.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+155.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$32
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+65.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+55.6%+$96.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+43.2%+$6.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.