Movies · resolved market
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2ef5376cba8a173352f1a5ad047bf772d12c7d74d9c638884e8c03ee92036c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 52c | 4,267$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.8 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed No | 8c | 3,831$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 40c | 3,167$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 62c | 3,032$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.61 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,871$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.2 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…a502backed Yes | 33c | 1,985$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 63c | 1,971$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.23 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…d05ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,892$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Yes | 55c | 1,692$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 70c | 1,682$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 38c | 1,390$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.08 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 40c | 1,377$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.55 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bac…8684backed Yes | 66c | 1,284$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,232$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.84 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 34c | 1,120$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.42 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 39c | 1,040$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.16 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 42c | 1,030$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.91 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 9c | 799.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed Yes | 53c | 768.65$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 53c | 675.68$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.03 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 57c | 639.4$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 599.95$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 60c | 580.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 67c | 562.54$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed No | 37c | 535.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed No | 44c | 528.74$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 64c | 509.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 59c | 494.17$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 33c | 479.87$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…0467backed Yes | 60c | 472.65$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 37c | 445.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.14 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 42c | 444$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes | 64c | 444$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 27c | 438.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 434.04$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…b952backed No | 23c | 431.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 41c | 403.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf814…4cadbacked No | 48c | 385.87$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 62c | 353.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 34c | 345.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.88 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 44c | 324$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 318.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…78f4backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8578…0be9backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 56c | 287.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 51c | 285.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 62c | 282.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 7c | 272.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…908abacked No | 65c | 266.57$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 43c | 241.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 50c | 240.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed No | 47c | 231.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 56c | 229$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed No | 54c | 226.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…dd82backed Yes | 41c | 215.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 65c | 202.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…2c53backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 47c | 172.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…38e8backed Yes | 38c | 172.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes | 52c | 154.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…bc48backed No | 69c | 144.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 140.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Yes | 79c | 139.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 134.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed Yes | 69c | 129$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…c40fbacked No | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…348abacked Yes | 54c | 110.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 66c | 108.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 48c | 108.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 41c | 94.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…4322backed Yes | 64c | 93.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 68c | 91.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…f5f8backed Yes | 60c | 91.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 39c | 81.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 51c | 77.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…511fbacked Yes | 70c | 71.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 33c | 66.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…d5bfbacked Yes | 42c | 66.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 47c | 58.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…ea7ebacked Yes | 37c | 53.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 62c | 52.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 32c | 50.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 40c | 50.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…b3d0backed Yes | 57c | 41.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 38c | 41.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…bb6fbacked No | 40c | 41.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…c502backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?this page
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 177m and 187m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.