TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61ab…790b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT6256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.28
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$21.83
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.68
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.43
White Sox vs. Astrosbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$19.52
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$11.7
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$26.68
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.94
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.94
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.56
Braves vs. Brewersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$21.5
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.21
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$11.27
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$96.52
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.79
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$30.09
Blue Jays vs. Cardinalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.36
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.64
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$50.4
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.36
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.6
Boss Open: Engel vs. Auger-Aliassimebacked Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.48
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.53
French Open: Keys vs. Gauff backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.77
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.52
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Qinwen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.01
French Open: Bublik vs. Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.98
French Open: Zverev vs. Griekspoor backed Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.66
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$6.76
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.21
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$30.03
French Open: Fearnley vs. Humbertbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+121.7%+$38.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.68
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$9.66
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.45
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.96
Will Boca Juniors beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+121.5%+$53.91
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$10.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$205.59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$284.2
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$82.48
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.52
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.56
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35.16
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+125.2%+$41.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-71%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+60.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Skybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$14.31
Dream vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$33.44
Mystics vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$5.85
Mercury vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.46
Dream vs Stormbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+150%+$50.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.26
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$29.64
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.07
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.56
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$30.4
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.03
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+168.5%+$32.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$8.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$26.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+36.7%+$24.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.5%+$19.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.