TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Thunder80c43,145$34,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,715.3719249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers 27c39,657$10,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,731.587929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e9c…cd75backed Pacers 9c22,000$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers 18c16,807$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.421,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Thunder49c16,529$8,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,349.2933746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Pacers 5c7,550$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pacers 16c6,359$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2263…4e26backed Pacers 6c4,913$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e82…5fadbacked Pacers 8c4,380$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers 16c3,887$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9228347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad4a…ddb8backed Pacers 19c3,699$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.594065%26 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Pacers 23c3,067$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.132638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Pacers 28c2,977$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.642157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Thunder72c2,842$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.113636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…89abbacked Thunder74c2,590$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Pacers 26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Pacers 51c2,434$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.3513248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4f9…c260backed Pacers 16c2,241$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Pacers 19c2,103$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4817943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Pacers 15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d15…c1c2backed Pacers 9c1,787$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0c…fb96backed Pacers 29c1,725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1277…13d8backed Pacers 30c1,679$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3537…56eabacked Thunder71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Pacers 14c1,442$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.843764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Pacers 17c1,374$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3310551.4%54 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…a900backed Pacers 16c1,247$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ed…52d3backed Pacers 18c1,230$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.451838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c39…b7a6backed Pacers 9c1,097$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…16ccbacked Pacers 20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Pacers 26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Pacers 20c972.22$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Pacers 35c956.11$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.610246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Pacers 24c900$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22041227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Pacers 16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009131.9%29 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02de…44e6backed Pacers 26c624.92$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Thunder69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pacers 19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Pacers 25c525.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8622750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07cd…21bbbacked Pacers 30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3560…8494backed Pacers 35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb756…e086backed Pacers 8c408.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers 20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x331a…d80ebacked Thunder72c390.34$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pacers 9c370$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.360834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder75c359$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7520248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Thunder71c359$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef61…9061backed Pacers 19c350$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Pacers 19c332.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2212938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pacers 29c329$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4178652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pacers 24c324.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.022,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f02…1b48backed Thunder73c312.33$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.331030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61ab…790bbacked Pacers 19c309$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Pacers 13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395440.7%22 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Pacers 35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a99…3e93backed Pacers 18c277.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers 19c275.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.416537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Pacers 27c271.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.92055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e4…fd34backed Pacers 9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.560%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pacers 20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f78…31a4backed Pacers 24c234.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…d080backed Pacers 25c229$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x065f…2e80backed Pacers 16c224.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…7038backed Pacers 26c219.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Thunder80c210.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.688783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe341…273bbacked Pacers 28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9394…37dabacked Pacers 20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd998…7806backed Thunder78c192.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7504…9c69backed Pacers 29c192.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Thunder73c186$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9914562.8%91 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb249…be25backed Pacers 8c183$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pacers 19c171.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.711,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Pacers 22c157.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.33644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c06…60ecbacked Pacers 8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628d…9410backed Thunder72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe981…3b07backed Pacers 8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x465a…ca63backed Pacers 21c120.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b6…6faabacked Pacers 26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers 28c111.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3366853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed7…9753backed Pacers 24c108.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b2…0d0fbacked Pacers 19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers 30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcf…76e3backed Pacers 25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255127.5%14 W · 37 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+97.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec01…6592backed Thunder75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a3…f914backed Pacers 30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Thunder70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ef…adc5backed Pacers 30c99.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee55…b010backed Pacers 35c90.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5224…a664backed Pacers 26c90.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.481838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Pacers 19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Thunder71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4232148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Thunder71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb220…b07cbacked Pacers 17c68.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d3…9a72backed Thunder76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2870…419cbacked Pacers 26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Pacers 22c57.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.672650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Pacers 35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Pacers 26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Thunder56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.