TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b05…48f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT6330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.49
Will the Knicks hire Michael Malone as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Kevin Durant be traded to the Spurs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.72
NBA Finals G7: Will Siakam score 22+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Finals: Will any player record a triple double?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed East · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Finals G7: Will SGA score 33+ points against the Pacers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Finals G7: Will Both Teams Score in First Minute?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Finals: Will any player score 40+ points? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$31.31
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$16.83
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
NBA Finals G2: Will Haliburton score 17+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+400%+$800
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$59.78
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT3828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Travis Kelce score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Dallas Goedert score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will JuJu Smith-Schuster score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Justin Watson score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will DeAndre Hopkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+573.4%+$573.42
Will there be no touchdown scored in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Jalen Hurts score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+650%+$325
Will Saquon Barkley score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$276.14
Will Xavier Worthy score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will A.J. Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+194.1%+$98.42
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+239.8%+$119.89
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+157.8%+$193.45
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sam Darnold win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Travis Kelce score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Josh Allen score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Angels vs. Blue Jaysbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-60.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.