MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4483fa9bab54439fc60a11ac06adc50ca9dd797b56e5158142bf6cbc94a4bbe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $771,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $780,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Rays | 52c | 638,063$330,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330,464.7 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 48c | 117,706$56,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,337.44 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 49c | 94,204$46,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,043.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 48c | 82,474$39,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,232.98 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 47c | 77,609$36,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,934.81 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Orioles | 49c | 54,222$26,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,653.21 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 49c | 44,444$21,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,666.44 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Orioles | 50c | 38,676$19,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,338 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 48c | 36,193$17,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,826.05 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 48c | 35,377$16,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,418.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 47c | 23,781$11,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,573.41 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 51c | 21,052$10,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,691.3 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 48c | 15,361$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,961.23 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 48c | 12,439$5,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,473.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 48c | 9,488$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.6 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Rays | 56c | 9,004$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Orioles | 50c | 8,080$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 47c | 6,845$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Rays | 54c | 6,632$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 48c | 6,272$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 53c | 5,408$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.92 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Orioles | 47c | 5,400$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.98 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 48c | 5,040$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Orioles | 48c | 4,830$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.58 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rays | 53c | 3,787$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 48c | 3,335$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Orioles | 49c | 2,745$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.9 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 56c | 2,698$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.08 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 66c | 2,423$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.83 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 26c | 2,397$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.88 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 31c | 2,148$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rays | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Orioles | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.57 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 26c | 1,894$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Rays | 7c | 1,887$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 46c | 1,823$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.42 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 48c | 1,730$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.63 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 46c | 1,615$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.96 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rays | 48c | 1,550$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Rays | 32c | 1,417$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.53 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Rays | 51c | 1,348$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.27 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 47c | 1,320$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.52 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 56c | 1,291$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 62c | 1,226$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 48c | 1,217$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.7 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 2c | 1,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Rays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rays | 53c | 899.98$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.99 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Orioles | 48c | 837$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 44c | 821$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 46c | 787.35$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Orioles | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 5c | 556.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Rays | 35c | 539.29$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.37 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 48c | 535.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 60c | 464.19$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rays | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 58c | 440.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Orioles | 48c | 400$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Rays | 38c | 400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Rays | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Orioles | 48c | 378.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rays | 51c | 375$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Rays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Orioles | 46c | 353$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rays | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Rays | 51c | 307.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Rays | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…a562backed Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Rays | 52c | 296.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…a01ebacked Rays | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Rays | 19c | 261.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Orioles | 50c | 238.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked Rays | 54c | 214.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Orioles | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 54c | 199.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Rays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…3488backed Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Rays | 53c | 164.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Orioles | 45c | 161$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 49c | 151.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rays | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 47c | 121$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.