TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88cf…7d31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT19849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.8
Royals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+272.7%+$439
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.74
Angels vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.03
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.6
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$89.94
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.6
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$97.35
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$87
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$73.75
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.78
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$121
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.05
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
Twins vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.05
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$196.77
Cardinals vs. Piratesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.8
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.12
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+184.5%+$518.68
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.9
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$143.85
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Chelsea vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+203%+$104.53
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$101.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$82.52
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$298.9
Will Aston Villa vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+257.1%+$74.16
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$301.6
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$98.9
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$62.9
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40.05
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST4740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50.55
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36.92
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$97.6
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+212.5%+$69.36
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$26.3
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$37.8
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$148
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+78.6%+$29.68
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$52
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$39
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+194.1%+$33
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+92.3%+$9.59
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$19.41
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$50.6
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.37
Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.1
Will Liverpool vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100.2
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$324
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the match between Barcelona and Atalanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+57.1%+$59.81
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.39
Will Braga beat Lazio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$195
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$391.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.