Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94db8967b61b91b389bd5f271aaadd9cd4ec814ee23b326363758e2039ae0812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4fb…239abacked No | 47c | 13,840$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…372bbacked Yes | 57c | 13,095$7,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 46c | 10,235$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.03 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…c63fbacked No | 43c | 7,109$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 45c | 6,500$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.9 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf24…5aa8backed No | 43c | 6,022$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 36c | 5,500$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.98 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 9c | 5,299$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.21 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 55c | 4,939$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.25 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 56c | 4,482$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.17 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 56c | 3,895$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.75 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…ca59backed No | 47c | 3,312$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3a…11cebacked No | 47c | 3,189$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 30c | 3,133$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.6 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 44c | 2,709$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.1 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…8da1backed Yes | 53c | 2,583$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.9 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 48c | 2,495$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3e68backed Yes | 53c | 2,451$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c420backed No | 44c | 2,400$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 42c | 1,892$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.78 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,610$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.36 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…6656backed Yes | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 32c | 1,291$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes | 54c | 1,159$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 62c | 1,100$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.01 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,004$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 45c | 999.98$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Yes | 56c | 996.41$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 54c | 932.98$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.49 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 52c | 850$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked No | 47c | 824.21$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 72c | 800$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 58c | 719.58$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.58 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Yes | 55c | 714.55$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 29c | 699.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 55c | 552$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 43c | 514$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 3c | 467.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 55c | 456.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 52c | 433.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 59c | 406.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 22c | 399.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…c4a7backed Yes | 54c | 394.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 45c | 363.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 58c | 345.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 336.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 30c | 263.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 46c | 244.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 54c | 216$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 44c | 203$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 67c | 199.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…1779backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 54c | 170.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…844dbacked No | 48c | 170.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed No | 46c | 167.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Yes | 55c | 164.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 78c | 160.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…61a1backed No | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…7bf9backed Yes | 53c | 147$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3c…00f2backed Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…31acbacked No | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 53c | 139.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 43c | 132.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…6e25backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…1f92backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.