Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2333e7f3c0180c4c599baf0edf273c2dd68bdf1b07b1738415b69181e27587d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 9,389$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.54 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 22c | 4,590$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.82 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,326$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.24 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 3,308$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.33 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 23c | 2,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 79c | 1,510$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 1,474$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 77c | 1,472$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.82 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 1,391$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 17c | 1,213$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,147$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,011$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 968$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 16c | 896.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 14c | 865.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 12c | 827.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Yes | 12c | 742.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 17c | 588$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 20c | 502.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…a885backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 19c | 488.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 22c | 437.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 384.55$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…8c24backed Yes | 7c | 362.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 79c | 320.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cee…bf2dbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 78c | 293.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 20c | 269.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 22c | 250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 5c | 236$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 78c | 225.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 22c | 181.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 22c | 180.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Yes | 15c | 140.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 78c | 118$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 79c | 111.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…90febacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 78c | 107$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 80c | 100.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…80a4backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…5b4dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…f275backed Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 22c | 90.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a901backed Yes | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…2377backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…feffbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…13a9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-16?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.