TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ef7…b0de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT8752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$25.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$39.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+222.6%+$62.32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$26.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$22.68
Will Everton win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$28
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$14
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.42
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.72
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+95%+$95.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+77.6%+$201.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.