Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae5145c98471bdca6ade08f2410499618a3accfced094d2ac7b8bb35c111c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,571,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,554,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,571,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,018 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 31c | 400,000$123,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,999.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed No | 71c | 218,280$153,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,356.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 31c | 150,000$46,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,499.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed No | 70c | 135,317$94,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,537.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 129,231$89,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,464.51 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 69c | 126,667$87,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,266.67 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 30c | 93,853$28,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,117.37 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 89,903$61,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,711.73 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 67c | 71,562$47,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,615.42 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 68c | 50,846$34,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,270.88 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 38,114$12,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,926.85 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…25f3backed Yes | 33c | 29,807$9,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,836.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 36c | 25,878$9,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,371.85 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 33c | 21,091$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 72c | 18,987$13,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.14 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 69c | 12,493$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.57 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 31c | 12,036$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.82 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…474ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.99 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.96 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…ec41backed Yes | 19c | 9,479$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 9,408$6,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.88 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 29c | 8,999$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 8,805$7,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.04 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…127dbacked Yes | 34c | 8,700$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 30c | 8,495$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 8,100$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.98 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 68c | 8,075$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.58 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 68c | 7,648$5,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.81 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…80e6backed Yes | 36c | 6,899$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 33c | 6,255$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.93 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 6,119$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Yes | 24c | 6,037$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 33c | 5,991$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 12c | 5,782$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.37 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 11c | 5,684$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed No | 66c | 5,600$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…867cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,596$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 5,581$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.31 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 39c | 5,146$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 66c | 5,135$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.59 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 5,087$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.72 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…0542backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.91 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…b66dbacked No | 66c | 4,805$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…c49abacked Yes | 34c | 4,797$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,606$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…92f9backed Yes | 31c | 4,598$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked No | 68c | 4,330$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed No | 68c | 4,300$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 39c | 4,228$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 11c | 4,145$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 12c | 4,108$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.66 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 3,980$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.17 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 65c | 3,922$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 30c | 3,904$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +191.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 24c | 3,845$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 3,817$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.95 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…9b67backed Yes | 13c | 3,801$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 3,601$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.5 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 21c | 3,443$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.58 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…13d3backed Yes | 21c | 3,308$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 15c | 2,976$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…2a9ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,940$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…773dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,706$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…2770backed Yes | 11c | 2,628$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 23c | 2,557$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,525$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…f02ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…df0bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…594abacked Yes | 35c | 2,480$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 35c | 2,439$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.92 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 65c | 2,432$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 34c | 2,324$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 70c | 2,151$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…1fbdbacked Yes | 10c | 2,151$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 2,097$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.09 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 33c | 2,018$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 29c | 2,013$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,006$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 32c | 1,952$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 1,905$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.94 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.