TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76ba…13d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+143.9%+$33.1
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$23.94
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+32.6%+$13.05
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+79.7%+$23.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25.7%+$33.72
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47.89
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+59.6%+$26.21
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+91.5%+$46.66
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.8%+$48.35
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+777.9%+$194.47
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.3%+$17.97
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+169%+$42.24
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+199%+$59.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.