Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb893676d10fa568165b29552de22d5c2bf2c76be94f8364990a22d285b36f071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,750 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 45c | 31,381$14,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,121.3 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 17,144$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.6 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 4c | 8,648$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.93 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 6,237$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.04 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 74c | 4,533$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.73 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 73c | 3,672$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.75 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 73c | 2,947$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 8c | 2,609$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,204.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 56c | 1,264$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.62 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.45 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 6c | 970$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 74c | 952.12$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yes | 56c | 899.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 890.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 45c | 889.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 28c | 861.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.27 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 827.6$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.63 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 825$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.85 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 29c | 821.3$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 55c | 777$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 55c | 749.95$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 748.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 56c | 616.59$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 44c | 611.94$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 600$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 454.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 45c | 448.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 32c | 429.6$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 72c | 428.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 46c | 414.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 13c | 381.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 56c | 366.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 45c | 364$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…05cfbacked Yes | 72c | 360.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 56c | 352.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 45c | 243.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 76c | 232.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed No | 26c | 232.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9d…a2eabacked Yes | 75c | 219.07$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1e…48c4backed Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 8c | 182.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…7a2bbacked Yes | 71c | 179.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…d107backed No | 46c | 165.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 54c | 159.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 64c | 156.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 41c | 147.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 20c | 133.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 43c | 99.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 56c | 90.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 66c | 89.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 56c | 89.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…c6ddbacked Yes | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 44c | 82.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 44c | 80.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 45c | 76.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 44c | 73.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 52c | 65.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…1c09backed Yes | 75c | 62.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed No | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 45c | 40.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.