TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2011…f296

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Cricket at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$224.4
Will Blackpool FC vs. Carlisle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$52.42
Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$214.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$354.99
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$298.29
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$63.63
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$108
Will Everton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$87.18
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$16.99
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Oxford United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+89.9%+$28.39
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$59.97
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$310.96
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$158.98
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$232.92
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+194.1%+$99
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$38.65
Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$11.7
Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+97.6%+$12.35
Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+58.7%+$206.32
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$279.67
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$168
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.7%+$12.04
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$147.49
Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37.46
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Lille OSC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+55.5%+$300.13
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+73.5%+$248
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$87.5
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Execration (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$66
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$155
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$32.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Heroic (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.9%+$23.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$97.55
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+257.1%+$50.39
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Roar Gaming (BO3)backed Roar Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.18
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$361.91
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$107.23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$367.88
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$401.76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$100.76
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$141
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+257.1%+$288
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+170.3%+$125.96
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$130.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$109.97
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18.45
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.86
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+104.1%+$50.99
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Oilers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.19
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Sabres vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+101.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+1,786.8%+$189.39
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Kosovo vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55.44
Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$10.92
Will Peru win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$46.96
Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$60
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+60.4%+$230.01
Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Cambodia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$84.68
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$69.16
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Northern Illinois vs. UMass: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$227.5
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+50.1%+$210.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.