Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79219fb3d2cabc7d477b568370b6c48923d7906f62d8cdb7477e9a1587c1aba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Xtreme Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ | 53c | 16,955$8,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,969.01 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 10,760$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 65c | 9,748$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.52 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 6,600$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 6,550$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 5,719$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.01 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 56c | 5,474$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.6 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 5,367$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.6 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 5,190$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 3,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,105$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.81 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,500$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.85 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 2,436$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,209$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,971$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,967$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.11 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,445$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.71 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,374$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,349$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 1,241$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,155$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.31 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,137$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.34 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,056$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.06 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 925.53$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked MOUZ | 54c | 921.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.37 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 911.69$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed MOUZ | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ | 59c | 876.53$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.53 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed MOUZ | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…8449backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 782.77$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 706.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 679.79$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 676.75$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 666.87$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 603.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed MOUZ | 59c | 601.24$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 600$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…2403backed MOUZ | 69c | 539.03$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 486.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 467.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 462.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 448.19$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed MOUZ | 53c | 447.23$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 446$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 440.14$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbb1backed MOUZ | 58c | 430.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 415.41$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 392.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 390$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 366.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 353.41$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed MOUZ | 56c | 335.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed MOUZ | 60c | 331.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…5fd1backed MOUZ | 53c | 289$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked MOUZ | 59c | 288.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 283.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked MOUZ | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 255$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked MOUZ | 55c | 254.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 213.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked MOUZ | 58c | 198.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed MOUZ | 58c | 171.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked MOUZ | 57c | 159.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed MOUZ | 63c | 156.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…1f2abacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 142.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 140.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 124.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 115.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…cd13backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed MOUZ | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed MOUZ | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed MOUZ | 55c | 96.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4026…93f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 95.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 56c | 86.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.