TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e8b…e99f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
290
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7642.1%32 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$390.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$136.51
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$148.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+728.9%+$96.7
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$115.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$38.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.73
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.9%+$222.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$151.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$453.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$144.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$987.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23.46
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$76.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+45.9%+$54.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+151.7%+$72.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$179.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.52
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$61.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+102.6%+$76.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.8%+$455.54
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.7%+$141.66
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$7.48
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$95.89
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$16.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$77.85
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34%+$8.37
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+1,478.9%+$185.46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$14.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.75
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.74
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+209%+$382.83
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.85
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+281.5%+$113.42
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+856.6%+$307.61
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$17.7
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.83
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$54.3
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$47.91
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$75.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$113.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$20.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+106%+$40.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$35.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$43.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+138%+$319.68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.69
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$52.71
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$20.58
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+158.1%+$204.57
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$166.07
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$89.87
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$81.79
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$59.13
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$183.36
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+113.8%+$52.69
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$47.2
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.32
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$359.54
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+45.5%+$232.57
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.57
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.68
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.72
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$130.05
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.99
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.79
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.82
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.4
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+77.2%+$163.4
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.98
Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$525.89
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.92
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$119.88
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,418.11
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.89
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June  27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.43
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$260.5
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$192.18
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.77
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+191.5%+$49.28
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$97.53
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$37.7
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$88.29
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+79.3%+$24.32
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.49
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during the announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34.47
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$13.63
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+27%+$14.01
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+80.6%+$19.64
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$21.8
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$14.33
UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Azamat Bekoev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.45
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.83
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+238.7%+$62.72
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$8.52
Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.9
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+138.8%+$49.75
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+138.1%+$40.02
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$68.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Another Canada election called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.67
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.31
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+86.8%+$918.78
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$512.17
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.84
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$31.95
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+163.9%+$620.48
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.63
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.19
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+60.1%+$6.76
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.64
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.63
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.31
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.38
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$77.04
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+32.3%+$6.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$12.32
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.42
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$54.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$56.54
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.1%+$62.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$25.75
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+73.1%+$19
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+26.2%+$7.88
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.32
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$93.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$43.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+187.5%+$55.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+148.9%+$74.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+25.8%+$9.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$235.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.