Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d39b036fd2623e86a44128acf1fdc2eeeac8a923014ccdbb79d0bd403324c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Yes | 5c | 63,703$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 41c | 48,010$19,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,789.61 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 59c | 16,747$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 45c | 12,941$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 64c | 11,334$7,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.78 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 6c | 10,040$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed Yes | 41c | 4,998$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 55c | 4,500$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.19 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 62c | 4,492$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.74 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,807$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.88 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 68c | 3,288$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.86 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 67c | 3,095$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,696$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.89 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 77c | 2,574$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,383$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 41c | 2,133$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.61 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes | 24c | 2,024$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…2598backed Yes | 39c | 1,908$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 53c | 1,812$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.82 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 60c | 1,579$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.44 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 35c | 1,549$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.51 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 75c | 1,497$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 32c | 1,459$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.02 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 49c | 1,407$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…4b4cbacked No | 79c | 1,215$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 50c | 1,199$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.28 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 61c | 1,031$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.03 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…5c68backed No | 79c | 983.2$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed No | 68c | 974.48$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 920.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 72c | 900$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 22c | 858.19$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 14c | 856.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 70c | 822.32$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 23c | 819.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 33c | 791.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.49 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 47c | 787.95$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.08 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 20c | 777.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 61c | 724.81$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 53c | 723.74$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 689.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 292 | 36.3%106 W · 186 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 47c | 665.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked No | 43c | 625.84$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.73 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 26c | 619.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 77c | 616.18$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 184 | 40.2%74 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…8dffbacked No | 62c | 598.64$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 14c | 550$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed No | 37c | 548.43$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 5c | 540.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…5635backed No | 38c | 495.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 47c | 473.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.22 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…5de2backed Yes | 63c | 460.78$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…049dbacked No | 40c | 454.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.57 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 79c | 436.6$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 10c | 434.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…8c32backed No | 50c | 431.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…6d01backed No | 77c | 399.07$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 34c | 385.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.08 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…c5b4backed Yes | 13c | 370.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 35c | 360$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…c1fabacked No | 66c | 357.45$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 63c | 315.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…bd3abacked Yes | 11c | 312.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…9a5cbacked No | 50c | 312.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 63c | 310.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 64c | 292.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…1d34backed Yes | 36c | 287.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 39c | 285.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 37c | 284.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 54c | 275.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed Yes | 38c | 273.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…4fa2backed No | 72c | 271.56$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…1bd3backed No | 67c | 268.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 34c | 265.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.01 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…c3f2backed Yes | 6c | 262$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…dcccbacked Yes | 37c | 256.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…4465backed No | 72c | 249.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…00bcbacked Yes | 16c | 242.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed Yes | 15c | 239.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 74c | 237.95$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 62c | 233.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…c97cbacked Yes | 7c | 230.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…bdd6backed Yes | 63c | 224.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…94febacked No | 67c | 223.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…b2ccbacked No | 60c | 211.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…005fbacked Yes | 18c | 210.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 39c | 208.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…e14bbacked No | 61c | 205.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…7f5cbacked No | 53c | 191.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…bf8ebacked No | 62c | 169.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6bf7backed No | 67c | 158.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…8482backed No | 62c | 155.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…099fbacked Yes | 44c | 145.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd9…2ab5backed Yes | 66c | 143.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.