Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcfbd82b6c49a15ccd8a265b0d7eb8dffb311d607b570d2f17938d2508dd3bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 16c | 14,083$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 16c | 9,305$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.94 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 68c | 7,122$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.57 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 30c | 4,998$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 77c | 4,792$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 31c | 4,659$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.31 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 63c | 3,988$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…bdb4backed No | 25c | 3,817$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 65c | 3,804$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.24 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 56c | 3,785$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.3 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 32c | 3,686$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.72 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 80c | 2,908$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 27c | 2,276$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.91 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…e3e9backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 42c | 1,885$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…eb6cbacked No | 34c | 1,838$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 69c | 1,800$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 26c | 1,670$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 33c | 1,640$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.99 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 5c | 1,582$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…1077backed Yes | 70c | 1,405$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.31 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 1,227$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.43 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 27c | 1,110$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 14c | 1,090$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.81 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed No | 2c | 1,013$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 72c | 990.55$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…5f67backed Yes | 60c | 971.54$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 66c | 875.52$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.68 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 74c | 869.53$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 68c | 719.68$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Yes | 50c | 692.82$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 65c | 674.97$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…e15cbacked No | 29c | 659.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…9b84backed No | 54c | 638.34$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…326cbacked No | 54c | 634.81$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 76c | 605.31$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.26 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 22c | 601.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 68c | 572.83$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 71c | 565.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed Yes | 71c | 550.63$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Yes | 78c | 504.93$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5c9ebacked Yes | 48c | 463.39$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 73c | 460.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…41bbbacked Yes | 72c | 438.67$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…37a6backed Yes | 65c | 412.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed Yes | 73c | 402.08$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…35f0backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 66c | 397.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 35c | 379.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…54e1backed No | 17c | 373.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 3c | 362.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 52c | 358.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 52c | 337.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…bdf3backed Yes | 51c | 336.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…f187backed No | 30c | 313.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 7c | 312.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed No | 20c | 310$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…f62ebacked Yes | 79c | 282.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…f0e7backed Yes | 71c | 273.41$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f34…d7cbbacked Yes | 55c | 271.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 24c | 270.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 23c | 261.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 70c | 257.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 17c | 254.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7c…a833backed Yes | 62c | 250.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Yes | 73c | 247.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 16c | 246$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb455…d61cbacked Yes | 68c | 244.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…ae15backed No | 34c | 240.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…4d05backed No | 50c | 233.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 47c | 202.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…efcbbacked Yes | 58c | 201.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 74c | 199.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…fb79backed No | 15c | 196.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…d83dbacked Yes | 51c | 188.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 20c | 187.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 22c | 180$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…1b4ebacked No | 22c | 168.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 69c | 156.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…95b2backed Yes | 50c | 152.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…d797backed Yes | 67c | 149.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 61c | 148.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…21fbbacked Yes | 69c | 141.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed No | 15c | 139.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed No | 24c | 139.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked No | 19c | 138.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 71c | 136.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 70c | 136.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 79c | 133.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…6190backed No | 24c | 126.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…c1ccbacked Yes | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…c5fabacked Yes | 68c | 120.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 14c | 107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 66c | 103.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.