Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eceae72d7d7b3e175fa872c728526e6fec4714288a4bda91fe818e298e69a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,705,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,368,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,705,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 61c | 457,203$276,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,280.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 52c | 246,849$127,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,686.43 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 19c | 213,191$40,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,185.18 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 4c | 181,117$7,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.25 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 25c | 160,223$40,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,301.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…be95backed No | 74c | 118,648$87,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,403.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 5c | 100,000$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,938.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 45c | 88,777$39,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,937.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 65cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 52c | 63,044$33,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,014.52 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 47c | 58,374$27,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,895.48 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 64c | 57,587$36,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,789.24 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked Yes | 69c | 53,275$36,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,735.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed Yes | 34c | 49,281$16,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,623.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 39c | 44,697$17,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,132.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…c451backed Yes | 13c | 36,530$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 8c | 33,791$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.51 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 58c | 33,592$19,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,418.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eba…3865backed Yes | 37c | 32,130$11,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,885.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 76c | 31,885$24,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,551.15 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 28c | 31,694$8,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,838.21 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…4832backed No | 76c | 30,785$23,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,388.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 24c | 30,707$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,351.23 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 44c | 29,757$13,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,634.86 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…91adbacked Yes | 55c | 28,279$15,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,693.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked Yes | 65c | 28,209$18,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,403.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 79c | 25,958$20,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 80c | 25,773$20,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.28 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 28c | 25,411$7,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,196 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 24c | 25,304$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,136.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 19c | 24,717$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,046.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed Yes | 45c | 23,991$10,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,828.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 52c | 23,941$12,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,517.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 34c | 23,678$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,027.73 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 18c | 23,364$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.04 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed Yes | 76c | 22,966$17,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,554.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 50c | 22,558$11,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,343.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 66c | 22,314$14,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,516.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +192%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 50c | 21,686$10,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,744.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 61c | 20,774$12,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,122.89 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 61c | 20,726$12,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,720.79 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…1007backed Yes | 7c | 20,397$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed Yes | 48c | 19,885$9,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,641.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…07dbbacked Yes | 4c | 19,313$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 32c | 18,224$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Yes | 29c | 18,019$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 30c | 17,788$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 17,638$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.88 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…8402backed Yes | 18c | 17,358$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed No | 19c | 16,624$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,460.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e3…bfd5backed Yes | 53c | 16,320$8,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,583.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…9e32backed Yes | 6c | 15,439$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed No | 62c | 15,302$9,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,753.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 48c | 14,034$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680.33 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 11c | 13,877$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.03 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 14c | 13,636$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 62c | 13,284$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…a9c0backed Yes | 14c | 13,111$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 16c | 13,085$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 41c | 12,990$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,724.93 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 31c | 12,900$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.96 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…333bbacked Yes | 5c | 12,529$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 2c | 12,375$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 21c | 12,256$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.09 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 24c | 12,123$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked No | 22c | 12,077$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,375.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…252bbacked No | 17c | 12,031$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,977.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +192.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 59c | 11,756$6,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.9 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed No | 28c | 11,392$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,245.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 72c | 11,374$8,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,219.13 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 32c | 11,309$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,731.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…2598backed No | 38c | 11,223$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,927.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c803backed No | 57c | 11,037$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed No | 57c | 10,967$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed No | 36c | 10,904$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,941.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 48c | 10,303$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 57c | 10,264$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 40c | 10,235$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 48c | 10,225$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.66 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 53c | 10,225$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.02 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…3170backed Yes | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…85b9backed Yes | 34c | 9,889$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Yes | 8c | 9,628$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…9f97backed No | 11c | 9,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,410 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…06c5backed No | 27c | 9,493$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,902.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…cadcbacked No | 43c | 9,329$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed No | 27c | 9,272$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 23c | 9,262$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.61 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 34c | 9,241$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed No | 73c | 9,051$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 28c | 8,870$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 9c | 8,800$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 62c | 8,723$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 11c | 8,573$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 8c | 8,529$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked Yes | 66c | 8,486$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.14 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…9438backed No | 60c | 8,454$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 40c | 8,314$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 12c | 8,124$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.82 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 7c | 8,098$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.23 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 16c | 7,987$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.04 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.