Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7cd5d0a2bbdd7830376ba250f5c82a16180b2c584cf75bd949d8e842f1b5d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,450,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,370,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,450,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 72c | 341,907$246,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,714.82 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 29c | 175,705$50,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,754.67 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 70c | 130,750$91,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,529.69 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 80c | 70,735$56,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,426.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 21c | 58,924$12,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,089.09 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked No | 17c | 39,128$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.71 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…a981backed No | 41c | 33,046$13,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,551.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 79c | 31,649$25,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,541.78 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 15c | 24,464$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 16c | 24,230$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.7 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked No | 21c | 23,325$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 22c | 19,835$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.14 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 17c | 19,406$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed No | 18c | 18,068$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 18c | 17,177$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.01 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 46c | 16,766$7,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,131.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed No | 27c | 14,954$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 25c | 14,300$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 29c | 12,625$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.61 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…48e6backed Yes | 75c | 12,600$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed No | 20c | 12,419$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c64…4255backed Yes | 67c | 10,149$6,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f420backed No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 49c | 9,927$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.09 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked Yes | 69c | 9,306$6,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.76 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…e8e8backed No | 31c | 9,062$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 24c | 8,600$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…10e2backed No | 50c | 8,063$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 64c | 7,726$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.32 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 32c | 7,625$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Yes | 74c | 7,449$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 63c | 7,223$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.51 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 11c | 7,046$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.73 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 66c | 6,926$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 35c | 6,602$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.58 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 26c | 6,336$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…4dd9backed No | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 64c | 5,358$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.77 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…e598backed No | 12c | 5,196$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 72c | 5,136$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.19 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…3606backed No | 30c | 5,108$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed No | 33c | 4,813$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…7747backed No | 27c | 4,728$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…2ddfbacked No | 17c | 4,720$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…2266backed No | 27c | 4,714$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed No | 21c | 4,681$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked No | 0c | 4,675$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 22c | 4,665$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.3 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed No | 25c | 4,418$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.32 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 22c | 4,260$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.98 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 78c | 4,100$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c5b6backed No | 41c | 3,993$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 73c | 3,935$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.09 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…7b5bbacked No | 24c | 3,934$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 39c | 3,850$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.59 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 21c | 3,847$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.69 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…d17ebacked No | 18c | 3,720$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 29c | 3,556$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.94 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked No | 14c | 3,222$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.67 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 30c | 3,211$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.91 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed No | 42c | 3,070$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…4605backed No | 21c | 3,068$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 36c | 3,051$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.47 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed No | 26c | 3,000$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed No | 29c | 2,995$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.41 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…6baebacked Yes | 65c | 2,990$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 33c | 2,980$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.58 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 23c | 2,770$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 39c | 2,713$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.17 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 69c | 2,686$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 44c | 2,610$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.1 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 14c | 2,568$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.69 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked No | 22c | 2,563$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…f3b4backed No | 38c | 2,496$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 46c | 2,466$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.39 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…cb04backed No | 36c | 2,398$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 12c | 2,393$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed No | 40c | 2,380$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 20c | 2,368$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked No | 24c | 2,358$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…b832backed No | 47c | 2,332$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…c116backed Yes | 80c | 2,294$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked No | 22c | 2,292$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…b01ebacked No | 27c | 2,245$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…a77abacked Yes | 79c | 2,200$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed No | 20c | 2,156$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 62c | 2,088$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.72 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked No | 51c | 2,085$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.04 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 44c | 1,996$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.52 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed No | 24c | 1,962$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 43c | 1,955$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.72 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 1,927$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.1 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed No | 22c | 1,891$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 16c | 1,877$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.42 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 8c | 1,853$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed No | 49c | 1,791$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 24c | 1,747$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbce…30bebacked No | 44c | 1,740$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0a5cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,734$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.