TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,450,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,370,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,450,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes72c341,907$246,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,714.825151%26 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No29c175,705$50,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,754.676233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes70c130,750$91,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,529.6910930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff30…4a37backed Yes80c70,735$56,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,426.231450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked No21c58,924$12,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,089.0915020.7%31 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b6…676fbacked No17c39,128$6,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,843.711513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-75.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…a981backed No41c33,046$13,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,551.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes79c31,649$25,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,541.785844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…c43ebacked No15c24,464$3,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.21812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-73.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x740c…d013backed No16c24,230$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.74122%9 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7334…81dabacked No21c23,325$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,812.53135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed No22c19,835$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.146526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed No17c19,406$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.611323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4714…c177backed No18c18,068$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.541747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No18c17,177$3,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.0111921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes46c16,766$7,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,131.711770.6%12 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick27cpaid+155.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x3d18…1160backed No27c14,954$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,103.391822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed No25c14,300$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.772147.6%10 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed No29c12,625$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.612524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fd2…48e6backed Yes75c12,600$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe661…b679backed No20c12,419$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.271216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c64…4255backed Yes67c10,149$6,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb5…f420backed No18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f3…0ebabacked No49c9,927$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.091513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-80.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a29…9b2ebacked Yes69c9,306$6,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.762161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe373…e8e8backed No31c9,062$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.7690%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No24c8,600$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0442133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe074…10e2backed No50c8,063$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33db…417abacked Yes64c7,726$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.329363.4%59 W · 34 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff3…8c08backed No32c7,625$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.42755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd20…6f35backed Yes74c7,449$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…9d74backed Yes63c7,223$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.513641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No11c7,046$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.737711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Yes66c6,926$4,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.751650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed No35c6,602$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.587335.6%26 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No26c6,336$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.853534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4a5…4dd9backed No33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes64c5,358$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.777244.4%32 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bd…e598backed No12c5,196$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.51812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-80.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes72c5,136$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.1911734.2%40 W · 77 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac2…3606backed No30c5,108$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.16425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+124.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b9…8880backed No33c4,813$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…7747backed No27c4,728$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…2ddfbacked No17c4,720$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-82.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x546e…2266backed No27c4,714$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.631030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be9…9106backed No21c4,681$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked No0c4,675$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.023930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No22c4,665$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.38637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e3f…9ed2backed No25c4,418$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.32267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-85.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed No22c4,260$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.98175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbfd…0029backed Yes78c4,100$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x770e…7640backed No8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d57…c5b6backed No41c3,993$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.841421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ab…f015backed Yes73c3,935$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.0913949.6%69 W · 70 L+20.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xac5c…7b5bbacked No24c3,934$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.180%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No39c3,850$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.593030%9 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No21c3,847$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.6934534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…d17ebacked No18c3,720$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No29c3,556$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.9412126.4%32 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked No14c3,222$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.672321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No30c3,211$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.916710.4%7 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b14…d0b1backed No42c3,070$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…4605backed No21c3,068$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed No36c3,051$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.471,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0d…53f7backed No26c3,000$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.81612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed No29c2,995$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.413066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90b5…6baebacked Yes65c2,990$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed No33c2,980$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.5811628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…b94bbacked No23c2,770$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.012653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No39c2,713$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.1730238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Yes69c2,686$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.922454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked No44c2,610$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.17131%22 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No14c2,568$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.695810.3%6 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0753…c6aabacked No22c2,563$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.482334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb04a…f3b4backed No38c2,496$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6e…0617backed No46c2,466$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.394542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ee…cb04backed No36c2,398$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked No12c2,393$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.642910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa9…9072backed No40c2,380$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed No20c2,368$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.94112.2%5 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked No24c2,358$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.881533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f22…b832backed No47c2,332$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2409…c116backed Yes80c2,294$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e87…9a3fbacked No22c2,292$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.631931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde51…b01ebacked No27c2,245$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.02119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-87.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe12a…a77abacked Yes79c2,200$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed No20c2,156$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes62c2,088$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.724170.7%29 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc390…2a1fbacked No51c2,085$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.044318.6%8 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No44c1,996$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.526651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97d…e699backed No24c1,962$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…6320backed No43c1,955$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.723324.2%8 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No26c1,927$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.130839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c6…0c95backed No22c1,891$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.742227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…c0a4backed No16c1,877$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.424723.4%11 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked No8c1,853$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.226325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f7…42a9backed No49c1,791$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.531735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked No24c1,747$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbce…30bebacked No44c1,740$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8874…0a5cbacked Yes75c1,734$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.