TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$791,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$817,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes67c128,435$86,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,381.395151%26 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x404a…ee3ebacked No0c47,649$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef7…01f5backed No0c46,004$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked No22c30,211$6,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,711.1815020.7%31 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff30…4a37backed Yes72c27,778$20,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,747.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Yes76c22,550$17,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,418.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No36c20,900$7,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,473.986233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No31c20,109$6,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,264.8711921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked No25c18,906$4,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.2810930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dc…4ff3backed No0c18,402$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7334…81dabacked No42c14,475$6,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,123.333135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33db…417abacked No39c13,925$5,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,416.949363.4%59 W · 34 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x45b6…676fbacked Yes77c13,799$10,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.41513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-75.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes68c10,635$7,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.4193040.3%375 W · 555 L-67.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x740c…d013backed No31c10,379$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.534122%9 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec7…c43ebacked No22c9,917$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-73.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked No22c8,340$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.427847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe661…b679backed No37c8,254$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.71216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No9c7,882$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.827711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf36…2919backed Yes69c6,881$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.321643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf350…f3ffbacked No30c6,284$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.365844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes73c6,214$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.54042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…c0a4backed No28c5,785$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.234723.4%11 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked No40c5,184$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.771573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb15b…5215backed No31c5,096$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.422369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked No49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a52…3e04backed No36c4,686$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Yes52c4,609$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.941650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed No39c4,105$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.986526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No36c4,048$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.634534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0638…a2e4backed Yes78c3,347$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No63c3,344$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.0814849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed No34c3,252$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…f0b2backed No67c3,222$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…aa53backed Yes75c3,215$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.063158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No42c3,185$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.581926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed No36c3,066$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.832524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf4d…78f5backed No12c2,541$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.274515.6%7 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e87…9a3fbacked No35c2,524$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.711931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ab…f015backed Yes58c2,510$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.6713949.6%69 W · 70 L+20.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked No13c2,503$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.693056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked No29c2,404$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.337041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed No21c2,400$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514956.3%6 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac3…99ffbacked No74c2,382$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.561942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+71.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed No39c2,296$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No29c2,157$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9812126.4%32 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be6…1bdbbacked Yes72c2,123$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.45540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked No29c2,100$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6061040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c0…136abacked No26c2,064$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.671010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes74c1,979$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No29c1,970$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.375527.3%15 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No36c1,907$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.8530238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d67…5f94backed No51c1,861$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baa…647abacked Yes61c1,778$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed No53c1,777$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.327335.6%26 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497b…717ebacked No26c1,776$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.61010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-86.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd4…c680backed No39c1,721$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked No28c1,651$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.08948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No33c1,620$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.552740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0621…f862backed No65c1,610$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed No53c1,553$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.994562.2%28 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes62c1,540$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.153036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No51c1,532$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.98637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe25c…7908backed No38c1,498$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…3a57backed No30c1,309$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed No25c1,279$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.086937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes28c1,198$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.952222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes68c1,148$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.930839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5d…17adbacked No27c1,145$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.133764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+58.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7cf3…b1babacked No42c1,129$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.91020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9597…9f67backed No25c1,128$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19c1…a397backed No22c1,125$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.531747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe185…5f21backed No62c1,089$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…6320backed No58c1,086$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.183324.2%8 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed No57c1,083$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.081258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf19e…d04bbacked No50c1,063$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes74c1,059$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.23580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa785…46c3backed No46c1,046$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea4…2ea1backed No55c1,043$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e7…0c68backed Yes59c1,032$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…6b8cbacked No48c1,022$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No25c1,019$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.752536%9 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked No38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked No28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf5…b17fbacked No28c984.16$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.843342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ee…cb04backed No26c972.09$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e15…a0eebacked No26c961.03$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.071250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed No51c952.94$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.074170.7%29 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed No38c941.2$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.811628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No23c927.02$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0221228.8%61 W · 151 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc31…7e2bbacked No26c892.67$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-77.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7da…c572backed Yes65c888$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No39c869.99$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.83030%9 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bb3…b498backed No35c823.69$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…9601backed No65c819.68$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2f…5e62backed No38c812.76$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.42825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No63c810$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef44…5483backed No47c803.6$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-76.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a5…4dd9backed No50c803.25$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x880a…308ebacked No31c801.12$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.432937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.