Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6c4378df2112cca4ecd59cb092504bafdaf323714dd73521bce5b3613bcf4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 67c | 128,435$86,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,381.39 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…ee3ebacked No | 0c | 47,649$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…01f5backed No | 0c | 46,004$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 22c | 30,211$6,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.18 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 72c | 27,778$20,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,747.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 76c | 22,550$17,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 36c | 20,900$7,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,473.98 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 31c | 20,109$6,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,264.87 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 25c | 18,906$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.28 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…4ff3backed No | 0c | 18,402$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked No | 42c | 14,475$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 39c | 13,925$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.94 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked Yes | 77c | 13,799$10,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 10,635$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.41 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 31c | 10,379$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.53 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 22c | 9,917$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 22c | 8,340$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.42 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed No | 37c | 8,254$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 9c | 7,882$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.82 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Yes | 69c | 6,881$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 30c | 6,284$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.36 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 73c | 6,214$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 28c | 5,785$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.23 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 40c | 5,184$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 31c | 5,096$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed No | 36c | 4,686$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 52c | 4,609$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 39c | 4,105$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.98 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 36c | 4,048$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.6 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…a2e4backed Yes | 78c | 3,347$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 63c | 3,344$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.08 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed No | 34c | 3,252$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed No | 67c | 3,222$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 75c | 3,215$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 42c | 3,185$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 36c | 3,066$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 12c | 2,541$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked No | 35c | 2,524$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 58c | 2,510$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.67 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 13c | 2,503$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 29c | 2,404$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.33 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 21c | 2,400$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked No | 74c | 2,382$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed No | 39c | 2,296$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 29c | 2,157$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.98 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…1bdbbacked Yes | 72c | 2,123$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked No | 29c | 2,100$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…136abacked No | 26c | 2,064$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…f946backed Yes | 74c | 1,979$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 29c | 1,970$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.37 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 36c | 1,907$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.85 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…5f94backed No | 51c | 1,861$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…647abacked Yes | 61c | 1,778$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 53c | 1,777$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.32 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked No | 26c | 1,776$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…c680backed No | 39c | 1,721$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 28c | 1,651$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.08 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 33c | 1,620$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…f862backed No | 65c | 1,610$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 53c | 1,553$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 62c | 1,540$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 51c | 1,532$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.9 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…7908backed No | 38c | 1,498$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…3a57backed No | 30c | 1,309$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 25c | 1,279$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,198$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.95 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 1,148$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.9 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 27c | 1,145$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.13 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…b1babacked No | 42c | 1,129$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…9f67backed No | 25c | 1,128$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed No | 22c | 1,125$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…5f21backed No | 62c | 1,089$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 58c | 1,086$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.18 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed No | 57c | 1,083$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…d04bbacked No | 50c | 1,063$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,059$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…46c3backed No | 46c | 1,046$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…2ea1backed No | 55c | 1,043$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e7…0c68backed Yes | 59c | 1,032$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…6b8cbacked No | 48c | 1,022$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 25c | 1,019$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac11…9d3abacked No | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked No | 28c | 984.16$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…cb04backed No | 26c | 972.09$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…a0eebacked No | 26c | 961.03$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 51c | 952.94$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.07 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 38c | 941.2$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.8 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 23c | 927.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.02 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked No | 26c | 892.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7da…c572backed Yes | 65c | 888$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 39c | 869.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 35c | 823.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…9601backed No | 65c | 819.68$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…5e62backed No | 38c | 812.76$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed No | 63c | 810$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…5483backed No | 47c | 803.6$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…4dd9backed No | 50c | 803.25$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 31c | 801.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.43 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.