Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeca080635da47c3fb80cb489dc05174fdfe49144861feed3f2b27718874a3890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,756,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,561,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,756,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 15c | 100,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 3c | 84,835$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.24 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 1c | 71,498$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 11c | 65,406$6,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,905.64 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 60c | 40,758$24,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,544.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 65cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 6c | 39,469$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.58 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 0c | 39,179$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 68c | 30,125$20,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,613.24 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…333bbacked Yes | 10c | 28,629$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 8c | 27,885$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 11c | 26,561$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.64 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 11c | 26,382$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.52 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 11c | 18,377$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Yes | 2c | 17,801$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.22 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 80c | 17,215$13,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 14c | 16,224$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.26 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 5c | 15,466$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.75 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 23c | 15,458$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 15,216$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.69 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 10c | 13,501$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 79c | 11,981$9,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 0c | 11,247$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 4c | 10,855$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.96 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 18c | 9,483$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.52 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 72c | 8,044$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…9506backed Yes | 12c | 7,613$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 48c | 6,913$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 76c | 6,253$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 17c | 6,200$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.55 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 2c | 6,185$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…55e9backed Yes | 18c | 5,503$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 12c | 5,187$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.4 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 4c | 5,119$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 10c | 5,014$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.04 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 21c | 4,682$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.5 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 17c | 4,668$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…e459backed Yes | 22c | 4,515$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 3c | 4,502$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 17c | 4,496$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 20c | 4,378$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.21 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 15c | 4,309$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 19c | 4,181$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 6c | 4,011$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 5c | 3,916$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 15c | 3,884$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.3 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 17c | 3,867$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 9c | 3,850$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 13c | 3,680$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.74 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…83d3backed Yes | 41c | 3,661$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…6e2ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,650$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed Yes | 5c | 3,600$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 67c | 3,229$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,101$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.29 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 29c | 3,033$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.35 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…8b06backed Yes | 2c | 2,926$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 9c | 2,923$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,911$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed No | 72c | 2,893$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,867$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.24 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 19c | 2,800$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.89 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…5f94backed Yes | 53c | 2,740$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 17c | 2,720$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 12c | 2,547$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Yes | 15c | 2,447$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 12c | 2,411$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x746b…8a94backed Yes | 8c | 2,379$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,335$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 76c | 2,292$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.13 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eea…fb67backed Yes | 1c | 2,288$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 70c | 2,287$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.09 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…913cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…befbbacked No | 44c | 2,235$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 9c | 2,174$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 55c | 2,149$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.59 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e99…ff1fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked No | 46c | 2,106$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,059$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6faa…b22bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…4ce4backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 1,971$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…4bdebacked Yes | 56c | 1,955$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7c5cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,934$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 62c | 1,916$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.33 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed No | 45c | 1,896$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 6c | 1,850$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3a05backed Yes | 16c | 1,799$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes | 11c | 1,752$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,694$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 65c | 1,688$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.83 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 14c | 1,652$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…8a3cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,609$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 3c | 1,603$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 16c | 1,532$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 8c | 1,525$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…f6f5backed Yes | 19c | 1,513$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,503$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.84 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed Yes | 12c | 1,502$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.