TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56f0…3068

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT8031.3%25 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.72
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.91
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$27.86
Will Aurora Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.97
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$76.72
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.24
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)backed PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.68
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$60.78
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$74.79
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$9,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,390.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,652.89
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,201.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.54
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.79
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$207.9
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$2,149.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$50.92
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodarbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Wuxi: Adam Walton vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.3
Aix en Provence: Rinky Hijikata vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Cagliari: Stefano Travaglia vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$51.15
Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Koppbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Set 1 Winner: Machac vs Rublevbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+624.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.94
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+7,143.9%+$20,503.02
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.63
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.79
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.63
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.9
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.94
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$198.78
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$122.95
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.18
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$43.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+217.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+217.4%+$259.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$64.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.