TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under52c5,732$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under39c5,475$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.63348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over46c4,703$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.343441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over70c2,871$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.63464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c1,811$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.3641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c1,474$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.511,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over61c1,400$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under39c1,333$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.137945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over66c1,212$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over48c1,011$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4852821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c754.59$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over60c718.98$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under38c693.51$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.985752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over46c693.07$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.816040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over70c655$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6614351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x941e…7863backed Over48c622.35$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under38c568.13$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.142450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over51c557$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.711216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under31c451.54$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5616340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c442.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over53c429.43$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.452733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Over70c402.19$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c397.08$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over73c343.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over62c295.16$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over26c278.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.389627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over59c269.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1584339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17ce…3e93backed Over62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c214.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.388757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over48c208.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under62c194.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1810759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe461…c526backed Over45c193.53$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee74…abd9backed Over79c180.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over58c172.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over70c171.76$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5354…33e5backed Over59c169.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8528…ab72backed Over65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over47c156.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c154.02$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9515354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under38c129.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.614258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6013…3348backed Over62c119.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c112.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.872,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked Over56c112.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77cf…cb57backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over61c99.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.981668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c98.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c97.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c4…2853backed Under45c88.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Under56c88.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.541070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f0…3068backed Over57c87.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…cdffbacked Over63c86.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over62c85.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49bc…0413backed Over53c83.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under45c72.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.664156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over67c72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.243956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.37646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494070%28 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over47c69.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.552065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over63c68.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over43c67.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Over30c65.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe89e…7219backed Over75c64.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.713831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under77c64.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+139.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.12544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under45c62.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c60.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3818125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under42c59.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over56c58.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under74c56.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.733740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over59c56.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over61c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.118242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed Over60c47.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.