Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c8987992b31ef3085fd5e6af93ed6f37cb5b8a7f630578de7887fa6e1a2622f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 2,694$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.97 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 901$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 75c | 730$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 666.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 17c | 451.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 15c | 256$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 15c | 243.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Over | 73c | 205.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 17c | 158.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 27c | 134$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 110.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 77.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 70c | 34.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.