Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e76d32de088bf92952ea17cd6101ecc2ebd9883fee4de34dfd1550404191849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hellas Verona FCof Juventus FC, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hellas Verona FC | 72c | 2,362$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Juventus FC | 22c | 1,310$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Juventus FC | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Hellas Verona FC | 62c | 767.4$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Juventus FC | 38c | 736.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Juventus FC | 31c | 699.96$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juventus FC | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Juventus FC | 13c | 152.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Hellas Verona FC | 63c | 136.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Juventus FC | 38c | 127.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Hellas Verona FC | 62c | 117.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Juventus FC | 15c | 113.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 110.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Juventus FC | 26c | 105.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Juventus FC | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hellas Verona FC | 61c | 92.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Juventus FC | 22c | 64.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hellas Verona FC | 63c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Juventus FC | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Juventus FC | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Juventus FC | 34c | 41.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Hellas Verona FC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Juventus FC | 38c | 30.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Hellas Verona FC | 65c | 23.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Hellas Verona FC | 68c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Hellas Verona FC | 74c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)this page
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.