Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66de38899059b855cadd56ee9ebb1e0dadd30f730de922a37a8bc3246d2c1d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 10,237$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 39c | 713$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.93 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 498$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 407.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 214.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked No | 62c | 190.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 22c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 38c | 74.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 38c | 72.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…4573backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 76c | 46.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.