Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3755c8dcb288dac3475c98da3e1df47183dc54bffa692d44a287333f1043a073
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 65c | 7,728$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.13 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 37c | 5,313$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.66 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 4,697$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 63c | 2,376$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.12 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 23c | 1,153$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 1,005$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 993.1$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 79c | 962.13$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 883.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 18c | 769$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 67c | 598.51$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Under | 79c | 530$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 519.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 492.91$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 38c | 417.49$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 387.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 27c | 343$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 339.52$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 63c | 336.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 61c | 327.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Under | 63c | 187.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 179.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 157.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 63c | 144$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…b1e4backed Under | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 40c | 135.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 78c | 128.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 123.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 27c | 107.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Under | 63c | 76.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 38c | 51.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 48.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 33c | 45.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 33c | 35.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Under | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 34c | 34.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…d7a0backed Over | 35c | 33.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 66c | 31.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 62c | 28.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 63c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 63c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.