TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ee5…bc7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$74.92
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.75
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$19.47
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$7.38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+65.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.18
Will Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+55%+$11.01
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+76.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)backed Djurgardens IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.7%+$272.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.