TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd10c…0645backed Over52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2401330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c8,306$4,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,218.058351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over41c5,046$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over41c4,764$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.734440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c4,377$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.3257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c4,104$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.74,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c3,941$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.373,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over9c2,357$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4945841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c2,320$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.731,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.9412020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under68c2,100$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6727343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over3c1,506$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1868450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over7c1,468$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over33c1,432$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5612132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over8c1,292$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3522553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over43c1,137$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over45c1,120$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over2c1,105$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.089750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over25c752$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c681.89$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2240239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under75c662.32$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.08862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under69c495.29$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.93262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under66c473.47$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.475554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under61c437.48$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under66c419.32$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5717859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over21c322.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3511331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over5c315.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89d…6f39backed Under79c311.65$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over52c307.6$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9519258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under71c304.62$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.714454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Under74c302.68$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.811369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over15c299.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c272.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under74c270.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5423152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over23c260$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.838748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under68c251.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.595570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over20c240.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.011,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under76c237.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.354755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under79c228.92$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under65c205$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c203.15$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over27c199.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.53933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over19c199.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f84…00edbacked Over51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under51c188.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.135050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over31c185.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.451,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under67c172.11$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.276261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over22c170.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5512470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x43a4…e738backed Under53c161.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under68c148.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4419953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over42c142.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7720253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under74c135.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4116962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under50c133.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.821250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under74c123.3$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.87750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under54c108.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over33c104.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Over48c104.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under72c100.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.36163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d32…fe22backed Over56c98.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over30c98.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under12c93.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over33c87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.715119.6%10 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.711,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over32c82.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3659655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under70c80.79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.484852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under16c80.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.823641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Under76c72.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.453135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under68c67.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.242638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Under50c66.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.442552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6711547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Under68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+65.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x497c…a9bbbacked Over33c56.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over53c52.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…dda1backed Over46c51.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…2758backed Under71c50.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe582…7fd5backed Over32c46.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under52c44.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.521330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over55c38.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214065%26 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce12…0252backed Under79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ab…83f5backed Under79c37.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.864877.1%37 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under64c36.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8622760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under64c30.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.