TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbaa7…3fba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.58
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$425.58
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.76
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.2
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,249.99
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$510.3
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio Busebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+129%+$1,704.46
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Harmony Tan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.22
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$396
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$754.56
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$1,816.18
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,070.75
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$376.92
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.93
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Francesco Maestrelli vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$246.21
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+105.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.8
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$218
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$813.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.7
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$478
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.89
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$808.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.