TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $160 in January?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$528,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17f1…0528backed Yes6c38,494$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.43306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes3c28,049$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.7190%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ea…3ea8backed No76c23,891$18,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,811.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes26c22,447$5,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.4537745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes22c15,466$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.5429126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe450…419abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af5…42cebacked No77c11,491$8,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes8c8,987$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.56506%3 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-90.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No64c8,500$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.583164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked No71c8,388$5,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.682466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104a…5b05backed Yes29c8,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3008017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb0…70e6backed No70c8,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…89cebacked No72c6,392$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes7c5,624$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.765034%17 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes24c5,278$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.841250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+126.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede7…e943backed Yes45c5,193$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes21c4,717$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.073821.1%8 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eee…eeb6backed Yes10c4,678$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.75119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-80.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…6a92backed Yes36c3,997$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.771241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c3,956$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.536785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2001…0b3dbacked Yes1c3,696$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes4c3,588$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.035817.2%10 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.15per pick3cpaid+321.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeadf…7157backed Yes3c3,100$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes36c2,932$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.933026.7%8 W · 22 L-7.4wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x70ed…2366backed No79c2,891$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes37c2,876$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes16c2,784$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.814934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…4064backed No76c2,764$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.8817231.4%54 W · 118 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes6c2,574$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.443998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes27c2,552$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.692839.3%11 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes1c2,512$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6f…5e44backed Yes2c2,501$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.47812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick4cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked No65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…e096backed Yes9c2,233$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.98200%0 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes8c2,183$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.931612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ed…10b4backed Yes25c2,176$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.346625.8%17 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf68…928dbacked Yes1c2,157$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c2,004$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.691,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed No71c2,000$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…65dcbacked Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aea…b686backed Yes26c2,000$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5283228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e92…4f4ebacked Yes1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7e…23ebbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402391.3%21 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7991…24adbacked Yes1c1,864$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…2b0cbacked Yes28c1,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402e…5d12backed No66c1,765$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.241040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf328…abc4backed Yes24c1,740$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e21…9665backed Yes6c1,700$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc9…265dbacked Yes4c1,676$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+461.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Yes1c1,629$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41825%2 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+738.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes31c1,592$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0764812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc34a…f58abacked Yes10c1,548$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ce…71ccbacked Yes30c1,528$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-72.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes18c1,528$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.71714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd669…f5e7backed Yes3c1,500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.36221%13 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.17per pick4cpaid+300.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x54a9…2a85backed Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…7d32backed No80c1,500$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.113786.5%32 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x51c3…c051backed Yes48c1,467$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes4c1,425$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.532125.7%12 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes4c1,381$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.382999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…06f1backed No69c1,300$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No79c1,178$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2816537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b1b…29cdbacked Yes26c1,177$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.981118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+209.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1dd…a272backed Yes28c1,172$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5611726.5%31 W · 86 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82c0…315abacked Yes6c1,157$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+99.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes29c1,118$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.233551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf000…5667backed No60c1,100$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.932564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf101…b28abacked Yes35c1,077$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7180%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd86c…98aabacked No76c1,058$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.574667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c9…d064backed Yes3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fe…ede0backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.814075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f6…e582backed No76c997.7$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.891070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c97…1626backed No72c984.13$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd8…3524backed Yes27c971.97$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0470%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53be…5040backed No71c959.27$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1347…7671backed Yes33c904.79$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked No78c896$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9501…59e8backed No60c893.95$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefcc…54d1backed Yes27c888$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.76812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe652…d114backed No63c873.08$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.343050%15 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x928a…5de0backed No72c832$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdc…a810backed Yes23c820$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9864…b373backed Yes26c730$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+155.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…ecadbacked Yes28c703.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed Yes29c690$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae7…ac2dbacked Yes30c680.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No69c656.73$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7313038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes8c611.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.831499.4%14 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c4…0216backed Yes24c608.52$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.84436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e54…4521backed Yes35c601.53$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5460%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa15e…b53bbacked Yes28c600$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No71c599.97$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.995756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24f4…89dabacked Yes29c599.11$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes21c592.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6331523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0746…1575backed No73c576$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced0…c433backed Yes5c569.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.