Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d60041b68a260f6b8883de8d7576a7011fd5a1896d60224ff94fafa5478db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,355,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,333,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,355,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb84f…ff71backed No | 0c | 200,205$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +273.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 30c | 122,759$36,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,920.16 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 0c | 86,169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 6c | 34,963$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,801.51 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…09dabacked Yes | 21c | 21,202$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,723.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…bab6backed No | 0c | 20,217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +889.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 59c | 17,422$10,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,301.71 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…f7a8backed No | 1c | 15,733$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed No | 0c | 12,379$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked No | 0c | 12,006$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…6efebacked No | 0c | 10,449$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a77…ae66backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…1a81backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 22c | 9,521$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,448.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…b9a5backed No | 5c | 9,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 4c | 8,955$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,579.53 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 17c | 7,811$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,510.75 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…988fbacked Yes | 14c | 7,000$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 6,913$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.54 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…1e50backed Yes | 8c | 6,700$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +1,429.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 24c | 5,398$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 72c | 5,296$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +270.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,076$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.83 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 10c | 4,753$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 13cpaid | +394.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…241abacked Yes | 16c | 4,680$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +329.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 11c | 4,644$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.22 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6361backed No | 5c | 4,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 45c | 4,468$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.57 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 3,989$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.79 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…c0eebacked No | 78c | 3,958$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…9c0cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,752$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,732$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.99 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…ef34backed Yes | 18c | 3,725$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +431.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,541$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.21 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…d81dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,239$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed No | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…4ce9backed Yes | 12c | 3,039$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,458.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…9fd6backed Yes | 22c | 2,687$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +855%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,628$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 76c | 2,606$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 2,526$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.87 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 20c | 2,490$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.65per pick | 15cpaid | +878.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…6e7dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,212$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…6d2ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,135$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +276.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…488bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,043$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +387.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…00debacked Yes | 23c | 1,989$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +575%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…8407backed Yes | 16c | 1,943$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 24c | 1,854$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…bab2backed Yes | 33c | 1,840$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 11c | 1,777$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.31 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb7…1da9backed Yes | 17c | 1,710$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…8267backed Yes | 9c | 1,656$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +482.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…3a0fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,656$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2f62backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +2,163.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…3d26backed Yes | 16c | 1,544$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…f9a1backed Yes | 17c | 1,505$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +260.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 13cpaid | +552.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…38c7backed No | 5c | 1,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +464.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 11c | 1,466$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.78 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…017abacked Yes | 7c | 1,439$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 14cpaid | +473.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…43f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,392$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +907.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…e81bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,359$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…4bd4backed Yes | 5c | 1,292$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…e92cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,277$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…a4e9backed Yes | 22c | 1,247$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…2246backed Yes | 12c | 1,237$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +546.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…1dd2backed Yes | 4c | 1,221$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +5,676.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 4c | 1,091$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…5ac0backed Yes | 28c | 1,087$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,023$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.19 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 64c | 1,011$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…00dcbacked No | 70c | 1,000$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +318.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0ff6backed Yes | 16c | 983.45$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +301.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 12c | 975.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.16 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…90dfbacked Yes | 27c | 939.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +888%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 31c | 909.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 12c | 849.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.73 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 18c | 790.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.70per pick | 16cpaid | +704%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2a…7243backed Yes | 11c | 782$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +342.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 773.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.92 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…8fb2backed Yes | 20c | 756.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +404.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 13c | 751.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 10c | 737.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.03 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…f033backed Yes | 10c | 732.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +931.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…1bcdbacked Yes | 17c | 722.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 709.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.28 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 10c | 685.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…ba8fbacked Yes | 18c | 683.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 19c | 676.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.24 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 673.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.69 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…d6b7backed No | 75c | 665.5$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…5f34backed Yes | 25c | 648.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…6242backed Yes | 19c | 633.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +433.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked Yes | 6c | 620.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 9cpaid | +845.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…d5d1backed Yes | 17c | 591.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +492.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.