Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $150 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8929b01651f44fae2e7b5bd1832662099d81b5494450e1030a6b9b42ec61110f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,068,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,026,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,068,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed No | 50c | 46,183$23,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,041.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…488bbacked Yes | 1c | 29,104$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +387.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 9c | 18,403$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.63 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…42cebacked No | 45c | 17,555$7,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,662.81 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 78c | 17,142$13,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,363.37 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 56c | 16,237$9,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,130.06 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 50c | 15,528$7,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,754.1 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 49c | 15,495$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,904.97 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 14,104$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,275$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,002$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…626bbacked No | 21c | 11,500$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +381.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…ece0backed Yes | 2c | 10,562$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 24c | 8,700$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.98 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,626$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes | 55c | 8,476$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6a92backed Yes | 48c | 8,242$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 49c | 7,910$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.04 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,032$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…dee2backed No | 42c | 6,859$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 60c | 6,796$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.27 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 12c | 6,400$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.04 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 54c | 6,218$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 2c | 5,965$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…4999backed Yes | 25c | 5,962$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…4f4ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,589$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 11c | 5,487$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.37 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…5699backed Yes | 70c | 5,168$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1a…c4e9backed Yes | 68c | 4,946$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 4,914$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 41c | 4,677$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…270fbacked No | 75c | 4,600$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 4c | 4,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…8faebacked Yes | 55c | 4,436$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…f8d6backed Yes | 14c | 4,363$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…cf80backed No | 45c | 4,334$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 53c | 4,310$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.17 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 41c | 4,226$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.73 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 62c | 3,861$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.72 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0abdbacked Yes | 64c | 3,583$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…8b91backed No | 40c | 3,517$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 6c | 3,372$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…bd21backed Yes | 75c | 3,241$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 3,218$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.39 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…a8e1backed Yes | 13c | 3,080$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…5040backed No | 23c | 3,079$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 74c | 3,043$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.7 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a1…0b8bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,859$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…f367backed No | 45c | 2,856$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…02dbbacked Yes | 55c | 2,811$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 77c | 2,770$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…f69dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,742$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…76abbacked No | 74c | 2,710$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,516$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…e783backed Yes | 18c | 2,498$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…2735backed Yes | 63c | 2,469$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…c015backed No | 45c | 2,376$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…2c24backed Yes | 55c | 2,354$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…0600backed Yes | 19c | 2,247$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 16cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…89cebacked No | 76c | 2,228$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 5c | 2,218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 57c | 2,212$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…eeb6backed Yes | 23c | 2,206$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 6c | 2,119$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…880ebacked No | 45c | 2,096$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…6ba5backed Yes | 55c | 2,076$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 45c | 2,039$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.11 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…8d73backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…4521backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…53d7backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…eac1backed No | 75c | 1,909$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…0b3dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,815$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,794$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…0265backed No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 57c | 1,753$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.76 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…914bbacked No | 45c | 1,722$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…f0c0backed Yes | 55c | 1,708$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked Yes | 63c | 1,693$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…91b6backed No | 51c | 1,667$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +650.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…f9a1backed No | 75c | 1,633$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +260.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…e7aebacked No | 36c | 1,627$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,594$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34d…b68dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,590$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,584$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.01 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…0a63backed Yes | 2c | 1,486$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…c9acbacked Yes | 25c | 1,476$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…15eabacked No | 75c | 1,443$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 47c | 1,410$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.92 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked No | 78c | 1,410$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddb…4eeebacked Yes | 2c | 1,402$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…9665backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9109…3602backed Yes | 3c | 1,379$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…b373backed Yes | 56c | 1,351$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…39f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,341$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 77c | 1,300$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2063backed Yes | 14c | 1,300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b53bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,282$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 56c | 1,272$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.