TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06db…1e5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT8146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group Cbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.67
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$85.95
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.72
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.63
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ACROBATS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.21
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$41.96
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$29.58
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.93
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$67.06
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+310.8%+$101.23
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.85
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$56.52
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+238.4%+$91.34
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.57
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$508
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$212.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Niko Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Julian Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.67
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Lance Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$107.67
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Danny Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nathaniel Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$115.71
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Antonio Trocoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.