CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e5dde374d7eaeb11e5b0e3ebb595313425e02001f9bcbf0942db30fd2af076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,128,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,230,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,128,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc57…db84backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 95,256$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 84,998$14,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,109.85 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 64,499$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 54,999$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.97 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 39,700$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 31,119$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 25,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.94 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 24,410$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Aurora Gaming | 6c | 20,479$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 20,205$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.87 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…e926backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 19,399$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 18,217$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.51 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 12,813$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.94 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 12,524$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 12,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 11,688$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…3935backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 10,238$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 8,754$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 8,339$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 8,313$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…94abbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 7,796$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 7,109$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.06 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 6,228$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 6,227$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.27 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 5,807$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 5,550$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 5,550$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 5,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…3ff0backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 5,240$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 4,893$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.62 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 4,698$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 4,647$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.6 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 4,614$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.97 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 3,739$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 3,709$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…c7e7backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 3,600$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,720$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 2,671$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,333$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…6af3backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 2,322$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,267$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,222$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 2,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 2,187$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 11c | 2,108$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.51 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…8bb9backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,009$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,002$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1fc5backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…c055backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,981$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…1ec1backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,869$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 1,862$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,807$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…19aebacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 1,800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…fb96backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 1,771$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,718$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,647$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,557$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…62ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,467$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,321$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…f088backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 1,300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,269$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,263$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 1,231$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 1,210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,135$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 1,017$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…d71cbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c7aebacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 989.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 972.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…b8a3backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 940$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…a19bbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.