CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd152afbc0c71602d6ef354829e01943f06a66e0f2b88a8ff5b1b1ad62e46d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 10,039$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Under | 79c | 6,194$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.97 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 21c | 2,584$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed Under | 80c | 1,345$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 24c | 1,243$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Under | 78c | 772.39$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Over | 18c | 514.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Under | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 65c | 478.71$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 20c | 463.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Over | 36c | 425$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Under | 63c | 425$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…e0efbacked Over | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 30c | 276.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Over | 38c | 261.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…bb29backed Under | 64c | 215.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 37c | 157.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Under | 65c | 153.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 149.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 27c | 149.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 19c | 118.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf022…daddbacked Over | 39c | 110.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 61c | 88.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 18c | 86.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed Over | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…0290backed Over | 36c | 82.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 62c | 79.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 17c | 77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 78c | 65.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Over | 19c | 57.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 60c | 54.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 68c | 53.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…ad3fbacked Over | 36c | 51.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…2281backed Over | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 39c | 48.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Under | 65c | 45.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…7cb7backed Under | 78c | 44.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 76c | 43.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…0b25backed Over | 39c | 40.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed Over | 40c | 38.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 78c | 32.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Under | 80c | 31.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…3294backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe586…8536backed Under | 74c | 28.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 38c | 26.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Under | 76c | 25.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…6c24backed Under | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…5b23backed Under | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Under | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 72c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.