TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe013…764f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT7361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$18.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$4.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$11.61
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$10.27
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT6744.8%30 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$5.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+300.3%+$33.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+306.5%+$37.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$10.55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$43.21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$99.39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$9.31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.83
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$28.86
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+250%+$49.98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$6.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+260.3%+$43.35
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.19
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$19.61
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$71.06
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$4.04
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$9.56
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.69
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$7.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$18.96
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+92.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.92
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$13.24
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+225.8%+$56.82
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.95
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$45.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$20.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$40.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$9.92
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.14
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+62%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$38.89
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$30.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.