TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA63c19,163$12,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,107.7376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Heroic37c17,970$6,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,648.9433043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA61c6,317$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.6837157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Heroic39c4,917$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.581758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic29c3,687$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.033,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Heroic37c3,023$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.027441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Heroic41c2,407$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.0426045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked Heroic51c1,942$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98815838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Heroic3c1,800$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA62c1,581$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.651,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic10c1,559$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.954,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed FURIA63c1,439$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53934156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked FURIA63c1,429$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.5713065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked FURIA80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25023653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed FURIA63c1,236$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.3312651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic39c1,202$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA54c1,123$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.1717357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA71c1,000$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.234,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic38c999.97$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Heroic13c913.18$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic30c902.94$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.121,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Heroic15c883.75$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3741716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked FURIA78c841.95$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9546165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Heroic39c800$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.542651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Heroic38c799.98$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA61c789.37$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.245,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed FURIA53c752.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.814839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Heroic39c701.92$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9516047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Heroic9c699.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6236837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Heroic4c699.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259216.3%15 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Heroic31c644.88$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.12,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed FURIA47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.317554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked FURIA63c627.17$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked FURIA80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12519259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Heroic29c590$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.350846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Heroic38c547.07$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8925651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked FURIA65c536.34$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1241069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Heroic16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Heroic38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Heroic45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Heroic38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19038650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Heroic12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Heroic48c499.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4918049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FURIA63c491.58$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.23,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Heroic18c479.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.62343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA72c464.59$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.241,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic33c425.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.056,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA67c400$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.61,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed FURIA52c388.96$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8113540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Heroic29c388.44$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.21,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic31c371.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.072,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic39c370$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.332042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic39c367.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.724,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef9…d6e9backed Heroic38c342.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304928.6%14 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed FURIA64c329.25$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.731,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic24c325$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.465,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked FURIA62c309.55$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9820744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb03…b865backed Heroic5c305.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Heroic49c303.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked FURIA63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11131253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed FURIA62c292$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11212871.9%92 W · 36 L+16.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FURIA62c290.32$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3248350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Heroic6c286.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1710149.5%50 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f79…abbbbacked Heroic12c283.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357018.6%13 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Heroic37c256.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9945639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Heroic39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100258%2 W · 23 L-6.8wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-76.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked FURIA61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.519857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Heroic37c239.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7517250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic31c225$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.751,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FURIA61c219.19$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.252,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Heroic48c214.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8938868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Heroic39c210.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0312045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic28c206.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.722,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked FURIA70c204.09$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.648664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked FURIA74c203.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.924955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Heroic38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7684037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed FURIA60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed FURIA61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked FURIA77c200$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4758254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Heroic38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.042,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c2…1381backed FURIA77c189.15$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.05757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed FURIA79c189.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.486443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Heroic37c183.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9355843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Heroic39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Heroic40c159.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed FURIA63c146.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.168947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Heroic30c141.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4241147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Heroic38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic36c131.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.442,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Heroic48c126.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1429052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Heroic41c123.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Heroic39c120.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0642638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed FURIA63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0516856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic41c118$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.383,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed FURIA53c115.75$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7539258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Heroic37c105$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2530348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed FURIA79c103$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.358324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked FURIA63c101.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.598949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.