CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3807cbcb5e730dff3a0dfbd4f934be7adb33f705e40ad69e24874e474508a372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Under | 73c | 1,360$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.43 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 45c | 1,111$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Over | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 605.19$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 472.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Under | 55c | 388.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 43c | 228.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Under | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 45c | 175.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 68c | 135.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 75c | 116.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Over | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e03abacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 66c | 98.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 72.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 77c | 70.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29e3…0d66backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 61.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 22c | 53.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 48c | 43.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…d286backed Under | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…983abacked Over | 45c | 34.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…7327backed Under | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 55c | 29.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Under | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 66c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.