TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a9e…2e40

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$244.81
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$57.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.49
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$15.08
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$70.2
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$97.19
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$418.45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$52.95
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.43
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69%+$67.26
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.48
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$69.44
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$216.83
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$76.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$26.56
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.94
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$179.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.67
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+208.1%+$208.06
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$218.36
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 0 FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$135.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinskibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.