TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof MOUZ NXT, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT25c2,900$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.23,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ NXT15c2,770$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.532,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT31c2,328$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.522,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Lavked55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked67c1,800$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.882,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf981…44b7backed Lavked55c1,777$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.949761.9%60 W · 37 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked68c1,447$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.721,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT40c940.05$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.297,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT37c883.56$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.421,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed MOUZ NXT47c839.13$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39219351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Lavked51c768.23$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.154261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Lavked52c756$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3311254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT31c716.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.644,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Lavked52c669.96$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0916850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked MOUZ NXT27c532$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6429839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed MOUZ NXT21c530$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.835861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Lavked48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26027647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15b5…ef23backed MOUZ NXT42c459.38$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT33c424.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.284,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT30c424.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.636,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Lavked47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21294645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked MOUZ NXT32c396$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8824939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Lavked65c387$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.815,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ NXT45c368.12$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked MOUZ NXT48c362.96$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.228459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Lavked48c354.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.613458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lavked60c349.65$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT48c341.96$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.845,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ NXT31c325.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1645639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked58c302$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.852,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed MOUZ NXT51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15350043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Lavked49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15324942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Lavked70c255.39$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6238552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked MOUZ NXT30c255.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6223653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Lavked53c209.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.710061%61 W · 39 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ NXT47c191$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7749941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Lavked57c180.7$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.710450%52 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Lavked50c180$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed MOUZ NXT58c171.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MOUZ NXT27c160.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9e…2e40backed Lavked64c157.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.13450%17 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed MOUZ NXT47c156.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Lavked70c148.9$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2735466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT36c148.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.42,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Lavked60c133.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9996545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ NXT31c131.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.751,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Lavked53c118.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8317545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Lavked77c118.68$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.810950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT42c113$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.983,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ NXT42c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed MOUZ NXT31c105$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6944748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT44c103.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Lavked77c102.45$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.049441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Lavked77c101.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4725042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.81,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed MOUZ NXT45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked MOUZ NXT40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed MOUZ NXT34c99.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2719329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Lavked49c99.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7525944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Lavked53c85.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2222650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT32c82.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.012,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked MOUZ NXT52c80.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.161,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ NXT41c72.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.682,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked MOUZ NXT36c71.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7238942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Lavked57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1822654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked MOUZ NXT42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.436334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed MOUZ NXT42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9522324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT42c65.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.492,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Lavked53c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2132951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed MOUZ NXT42c57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.946225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked MOUZ NXT40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89020%18 W · 72 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Lavked57c54.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5333457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Lavked49c52.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.415040%20 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x300a…4c94backed MOUZ NXT45c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked MOUZ NXT45c45.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.473946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Lavked57c45.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4219935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT24c45.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.974,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Lavked52c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.44030%12 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed MOUZ NXT34c44.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.097944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ NXT39c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.122,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Lavked72c41.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6618758.3%109 W · 78 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Lavked73c41.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3719850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed MOUZ NXT40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed MOUZ NXT40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1637339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed MOUZ NXT40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47022.9%16 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Lavked49c35.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0915160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked73c34.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.174,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Lavked54c33.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6911655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MOUZ NXT51c31.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.891,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Lavked65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7710252%53 W · 49 L-12.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed MOUZ NXT54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.256454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ NXT45c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.051,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Lavked57c28.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3385054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked MOUZ NXT44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4417849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ NXT54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.