TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b96…3c3dbacked MOUZ NXT79c5,404$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lavked27c3,645$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.283,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ NXT51c2,876$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.611,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked MOUZ NXT61c2,506$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.4213343.6%58 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Lavked56c2,362$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.2328056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Lavked1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Lavked55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99075356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf981…44b7backed Lavked54c1,777$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.359761.9%60 W · 37 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Lavked1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620%0 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Lavked1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Lavked1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Lavked1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15751.3%1 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Lavked15c1,199$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0696945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Lavked1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Lavked1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ NXT67c976.2$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.662,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lavked25c964.72$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.652,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Lavked55c909.04$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9716850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Lavked57c855.84$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6428254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Lavked1c850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked MOUZ NXT45c821.75$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.9617849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ NXT45c806.95$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.5252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Lavked55c768.93$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.034261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT52c755.27$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.881,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Lavked40c660$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1464058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Lavked44c629.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9211254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT54c610.37$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.321,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Lavked51c550$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8494945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Lavked6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Lavked55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9927647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Lavked53c473.81$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24998856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Lavked13c446.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5813238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Lavked3c443.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.196225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT43c354.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.584,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ NXT44c349.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.991,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked MOUZ NXT79c313.03$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1625039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Lavked5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Lavked25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3424942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked MOUZ NXT45c202.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3811740.2%47 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Lavked56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Lavked55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Lavked54c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7510061%61 W · 39 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked61c199$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.372,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT41c191.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.285,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT48c191$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.925,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Lavked21c178$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1413324.8%33 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked MOUZ NXT45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7819935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Lavked42c174.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.841,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked40c171.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.283,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x413d…d704backed MOUZ NXT64c151.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.282479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed MOUZ NXT74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1414151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked MOUZ NXT45c134.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.196639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked MOUZ NXT35c131$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3826245.4%119 W · 143 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT42c129.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.052,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lavked33c122.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.375,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lavked30c119.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.912,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Lavked34c118.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed MOUZ NXT43c108.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0410725.2%27 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked24c104.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.716,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Lavked55c89.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Lavked50c86.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1625042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked34c85.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.314,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Lavked61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Lavked39c69.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9674239.1%290 W · 452 L-29.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Lavked55c59.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9932951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Lavked53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.156322.2%14 W · 49 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Lavked53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1536845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Lavked53c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6218545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed MOUZ NXT37c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3928046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300a…4c94backed MOUZ NXT45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed MOUZ NXT65c48.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.914030%12 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked MOUZ NXT45c42.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.243946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Lavked53c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2664439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed MOUZ NXT77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.118758.3%109 W · 78 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed MOUZ NXT50c39.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8937841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54d7…55c2backed Lavked31c37.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.719149.5%45 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked Lavked49c35.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.247143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked MOUZ NXT78c33.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1327947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked55c30.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Lavked56c30.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9915160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a2…a875backed MOUZ NXT38c28.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.952740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT45c28.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.782,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Lavked49c27.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5386154.1%466 W · 395 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT44c27.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Lavked53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3137339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed MOUZ NXT54c26.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2edd…cf00backed Lavked57c26.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Lavked55c25.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Lavked55c25.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.855040%20 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed MOUZ NXT45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Lavked53c23.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4357935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.