TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea37…94f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
367
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT32951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 329 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winnerbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.11
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.4
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+86%+$26.9
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$42.95
Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs EAC Rising (+1.5)backed EAC Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked EAC Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gatorian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Endless Journey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+93%+$57.6
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.56
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Arch (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked Arch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs Al Ahli (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked JUMBO TEAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs Al Ahli - Map 2 Winnerbacked JUMBO TEAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Wampirki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$27.85
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.39
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.76
Map Handicap: BERG (-1.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+1.5)backed SINQU Rehti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.25
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 329 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$16.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.9%+$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.